At the moment, US lawmakers seek to destroy the “reasonable faction” on the third level, which refers to nations in the international community that want to preserve neutrality between China and the US. As a result, Biden recently traveled to Japan and South Korea, and he is anxious to win over ASEAN. The Sino-US Asia-Pacific game in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war will continue to heat up.
Simply put, forcing “rationalists” to incur the costs and hazards of major-power confrontation is the only way for them to voice up. This is a natural process that will take some time to put to the test. China and ASEAN now have significant socioeconomic cooperation and generally seamless political relations. It is in the interests of the region’s governments to preserve cooperation with China.
On the contrary, the US has little economic incentives, and the US-ASEAN political alliance gives ASEAN nations a lot of leverage. increased danger At the moment, the great majority of the region’s countries have retained political sanity. Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen, for example, recently declared that the government will not “choose sides” between China and the United States. It is expected that the United States’ recent political activities will have little influence on ASEAN.
At the same time, as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine evolves into a long-term conflict between Russia and NATO, European countries will bear more war costs, and the United States, which is deeply troubled by inflation, will be unable to stay out of it; as the conflict continues, some US allies represented by Europe will be compelled to participate. Internal voices may be commenting on ideological conflict.
As a result, China’s key tactic for reacting to the US onslaught at this time is to “boil.” China must mitigate the recent epidemic’s influence on economic and social operations, overcome the current internal period of vulnerability created by a number of uncontrolled circumstances, and boost its external intensity.