IO – The Lembaga Survei Indonesia (“LSI”) survey agency conducted a survey on the perception of performance of Onward Indonesia Cabinet ministers. This survey used multistage random sampling with 1,200 respondents as a sample basis. The survey’s margin of error is ± 2.9% with a reliability level of 95%. Selected respondents were interviewed face-to-face between 25-31 January 2021 by trained interviewers who implemented strict health protocols.
“The respondents expressed the highest level of satisfaction over the job performance of Minister of Defense Prabowo Subianto, followed by that of the Minister of Tourism and Creative Economics Sandiaga Uno,” said LSI researcher Djayadi Hanan in an official release, broadcast on LSI’s YouTube channel on Monday (22/02/2021). “Next to Prabowo and Sandiaga, the next most satisfactory ministers are, in order: Minister of Finance Sri Mulyani; Minister of Social Affairs Tri Rismaharini; Minister of State-Owned Enterprises Erick Thohir, Coordinating Minister of Political, Legal, and Security Affairs Mahfud M. D.; Minister of Home Affairs Tito Karnavian, Minister of Foreign Affairs Retno Marsudi; Minister of Education and Culture Nadiem Makarim; and Minister of Religious Affairs Yaqut Cholil Qoumas.”
Djayadi stated that one of the factors that influence the results of this survey is discussion in public forums. “In other words, ministers who are more frequently discussed by the media and other public forums tend to cause the people to perceive them to be working more satisfactorily,” he said.
LSI is also undertaking a major survey concerning the people’s perception of possible candidates for the 2024 Presidential Elections. The respondents’ “top-of-mind candidate” for the 2024 Elections is current president Joko Widodo (18%). Next are, in order, Prabowo Subianto (12%), Anies Baswedan (5.7%), Ganjar Pranowo (3.5%), and Sandiaga Uno (2.6%).
LSI followed up this with a semiopen survey wherein respondents are given a list of 29 names excluding Jokowi, as he is no longer allowed by law to submit himself for candidacy. In this survey, where respondents are allowed to mention names not included in the list, Prabowo Subianto is listed as top candidate (22.5%), followed by Ganjar Pranowo (10.6%), Anies Baswedan (10.2%), Basuki Tjahaja Purnama a.k.a. Ahok (7.2%), Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno (6.9%), Tri Rismaharini (5.5%), Ridwan Kamil (5%), Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (“AHY”) 4.8%, with other names mentioned by fewer than 3% of respondents and the remaining 10.4% of respondents abstaining.
The top reason respondents say that they will cast their vote for a specific candidate in the 2024 Presidential Elections is “firm” or “having dignity”, followed by “being down to earth” and “concern for the people”. “As I recall, the results of surveys before the 2019 Elections were the opposite: Respondents place “concern for the people” first, and “being firm” or “having dignity” as reason number 3 or 4,” Djayadi Hanan said.
LSI went on to perform the same survey using a closed simulation, whereby respondents may only choose one of 14 names. The results are not too far off: Prabowo Subianto comes up on top (selected by 25.4% of respondents), followed by Ganjar Pranowo (14.7%), Anies Baswedan (13.1%), Sandiaga Uno (9.5%), Ridwan Kamil (6.9%), AHY (6.2%), and Khofifah Indar Parawansa (4.4%), with 3% of respondents choosing “others” and 10.4 % abstaining.
Another closed simulation using a list of 10 names garnered similar results: Prabowo Subianto was in top spot (26.0%), followed by Ganjar Pranowo (15.4%), Anies Baswedan (13.3%), Sandiaga Uno (10.4%), and
Ridwan Kamil (7.5%). Spots six to ten in this particular LSI survey are held by AHY (6.2%), Khofifah Indar Parawansa (4.4%), Gatot Nurmantyo (2.6%), Puan Maharani (1.1%), and Budi Gunawan (0.6%) respectively, with 12.6% of respondents abstaining or responding with “I don’t know” or “I’m not sure”. (Dessy)