Electability of Prabowo keeps surging

Electability of Prabowo keeps surging
Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto. Photo: JESSICA

IO – Indonesia Survey Center (ISC) has revealed that 22.7% of 1,520 respondents said they would vote for Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto in the 2024 presidential election. Of the fgure mentioned, 10.9% stated they voted for President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo in the 2019 presidential election.

A senior researcher from ISC, Chairul Ansari, observed that this has partially resulted from MoD Prabowo’s decision to take up the Defense Minister position offered by Jokowi.

“What is quite surprising in the survey is that Jokowi’s 2019 voters have started to fall for Prabowo, who was a political rival in the 2014 and 2019 elections,” said Chairul at a press conference, Sunday (11/14).

Chairul said MoD Prabowo’s decision was perceived as his effort to “bury the political hatchet” and normalize 2014 and 2019 political polarization. Thus, MoD Prabowo, who is also Gerindra Party Chairman, has been commended by Jokowi’s supporters. “Prabowo’s democratic stance
deserves the support of Jokowi’s supporters,” said Chairul.

ISC’s survey reveals that MoD Prabowo ranks first as the most voted-for person for the 2024 presidential candidate.

Other figures mentioned include: Ganjar Pranowo (12.6%), Anies Baswedan (12.2%), Sandiaga Uno (5.7%), AHY (4.5%) and Ridwan Kamil (4.3%). Other popular figures voted for in the survey, although with a lower percentage, are: Puan Maharani (3.6%), Airlangga Hartarto (2.9%), Tri Rismaharini (2.7%), Khoffah Indar Parawansa (2.1%), Mahfud MD (1.1%) and Erick Thohir (0.7%). Other familiar names are Gatot Nurmantyo (0.4%), Tito Karnavian (0.4%), Basuki Thajaja Purnama (0.3%), Moeldoko (0.2%) and
Muhaimin Iskandar (0.2%). A total of 23.4% respondents have not decided
who to vote for.

In addition to being the most popular candidate for the 2024 presidential election, ISC claimed that the popularity of Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto nearing the 2024 presidential election is the highest, at 90.3%.

In the ISC survey, MoD Prabowo’s Electability of Prabowo keeps surging Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto JESSICA popularity defeated Tourism and Creative Economy Minister Sandiaga Uno (88.7%) and Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo (88.3%).

Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan places fourth (88%) in the popularity level, and West Java Governor Ridwan Kamil ffth (87.5%).

Chairul mentioned that the high popularity is quite proportional to the level of likeability. In the likeability variable, MoD Prabowo is also on top of the list at 80.2%, followed by Anies (80.1%), Sandiaga (78.8%) and Ganjar (75.3%).

This survey was conducted from Oct. 7 to Oct. 21, 2021. The number of samples was 1,520 respondents, with an estimated 2.5% margin of error. The sampling used a multistage random sampling method with direct interview data collection. (Des)