However, the US continues to utilize NATO as a vehicle to advance hegemony, seeks a “absolute security state” with antiquated collective security notions such as military alliances, compresses other nations’ security space, and builds one side’s “safety” on the other side’s “unsafety.” Furthermore, the zero-sum Cold War attitude is unsustainable, and the US is both taking risks and speculating. The present international status quo can be considered to have shattered the United States’ unipolar hegemony and is headed toward multipolarization:
– EU policy: Europe does not want to sever ties with Russia or insult the United States. It can only stand by and watch as the battle rages on in Europe. Because the US is certain that Ukraine will not win, Biden has repeatedly stated that the US would not send soldiers to Ukraine. Not deploying soldiers can preserve the US military’s face briefly; if troops are sent, the US military may not necessarily prevail; in that case, the US military’s myth will be broken, and the US’s credibility will be devastating.
– Russia’s course: Russia is a nuclear power, and the US understands that it cannot wage a hot war with it. It can only impose harsh non-military penalties when the Cold War is over. This unprecedented series of sanctions has also resulted in serious retaliation from Russia’s “ruble gas purchase.” Sanctions mimic sanctions, and what affects and poisons Europe’s security condition and economic prospects: if Russia loses the war, the connection between Russia and Europe will be irreversible; if Russia wins, the relationship between Russia and Europe will be irreversible.
– Asian allies: Japan and South Korea are exclusively US quasi-colonial nations. Biden was elected to undertake “values diplomacy” and to persuade people to be “pro-US and far China.” Because both Japan and South Korea are dealing with major internal affairs issues, neither country is resistant to American political influence. It is possible to upset China as long as the US affects their elections behind the scenes.
– Taiwan’s deliberate provocation is a possibility: In the midst of the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine, the US is planning to do two things against Taiwan: on April 5, it stated that it had approved the sale of military technology and related equipment worth $95 million to Taiwan; and on April 10, it planned to visit Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen has made it clear that Taiwan may unleash the “first shot” against the mainland in response to the aforementioned two signals. As a result, China must plan ahead of time for military reunification.