Charta Politika Survey: PDIP has top electability, Gerindra a close second

(Photo: Prive. Doc)

IO – Charta Politika Indonesia’s Executive Director Yunarto Wijaya released the results of its latest survey in the online discussion “3-Month Political, Economic, and Legal Trends During the COVID-19 Pandemic” held on (22/07/2020). The survey measures, among others, the electability of political parties in the 2024 Legislative Elections. The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (Partai Demokrasi Indonesia Perjuangan – “PDIP”) maintains its top position, followed by Great Indonesia Movement (Gerakan Indonesia Raya – “Gerindra”) Party. “This measure of political party electability is made with the assumption that the Legislative Elections is performed using closed proportional method. PDIP remains on top with 20.5%, Gerindra is second with 14.2%, the Functional Groups (Golongan Karya – “Golkar”) Party in third place with 10.3%, followed by the National Awakening Party (Partai Kebangkitan Bangsa – “PKB”) at 8.7% and the Prosperous Justice Party (Partai Keadilan Sejahtera – “PKS”) at 8.1%,” Yunarto said. 

Here are the results obtained by the other parties: National Democrat (“NasDem”) Party: 8.0%, Democrat Party: 6.0%, National Mandate Party (Partai Amanat Nasional – “PAN”): 2.3%, United Development Party (Partai Persatuan Pembangunan – “PPP”): 2.2%, Indonesian Unity Party (Partai Persatuan Indonesia – “Perindo”): 1.7%, Indonesian Solidarity Party (Partai Solidaritas Indonesia – “PSI”): 1.6%, Garuda Party: 0.5%, People’s Conscience (Hati Nurani Rakyat – “Hanura”) Party: 0.5%, Working Party (Partai Berkarya): 0.3%, Indonesian Justice and Unity Party (Partai Keadilan dan Persatuan Indonesia – “PKPI”): 0.2%, Crescent Star Party (Partai Bulan-Bintang – “PBB”): 0.1%, with 15.1% respondents saying that they don’t know or did not respond. 

Therefore, if Legislative Elections are performed today with a threshold of 4%, only PDIP, Gerindra, Golkar, PKB, PKS, NasDem, and Democrat Party would be eligible to enter Parliament. The survey was performed by telephone interview on 2,000 respondents selected by simple random sampling all over Indonesia on 6-12 July 2020. The survey’s margin of error is 2.19% at a confidence level of 95%. PKS politician Nasir Djamil expressed his satisfaction with the results of Charta Politika’s survey. He also congratulated PDIP for maintaining its top position. “Thank you for finding out that PKS has 8.1% vote of confidence. PDIP is still the champion with such a large response,” he said. 

The Charta Politika survey also investigated which national agencies that the people trust the most. The Indonesian National Armed Forces is the one with the highest public trust as 87.8% respondents chose them in July 2020. The President is in second place with 83% respondent trust. “Until July, public trust to the Army and the President remains significant,” Yunarto said. “The Indonesian Police is in the third place with 72.2% level of confidence. The Corruption Eradication Commission (Komisi Pemberantasan Korupsi – “KPK”) takes fourth place with 71.8%, and the People’s Consultative Assembly (Majelis Permusyawaratan Rakyat – “MPR”) in the fifth place with 62% trust level. Other agencies that earned respondent trust are the Public Prosecutor’s Office (61.6%), DPR (61%), the Regional Representatives Council (Dewan Pertimbangan Daerah – “DPD”) (60.5%), the Supreme Court (60%), and the Constitution Court (59.4%). 

The Charta Politika survey further shows that 73.1% of respondents approve the President’s plan to reshuffle the Ministers in the Indonesia Onward Cabinet, with 13.3% of respondents disapproving and 13.6% abstaining. The results of a different survey complement the ministerial survey: 49.7% of respondents expressed satisfaction with the performance of the Ministers in the Indonesia Onward Cabinet, and while 44.1% feel dissatisfied. Yunarto states that the survey also discovers which Ministers are believed to have the best performance in the Cabinet: Minister of Defense Prabowo Subianto is considered by most (12.8%) to have the best performance, followed by Minister of Finance Sri Mulyani (11.5%) and Minister of State-Owned Enterprises Erick Thohir (5.8%). They are followed by the Minister of Public Works and Public Housing Basuki Hadimuljono (4.2%), Minister of Home Affairs Tito Karnavian (2.6%), and Minister of Social Affairs Julyari Batubara (2.2%). The lowest names in the survey are the Minister of Education and Culture Nadiem Makarim (2%), Minister of Foreign Affairs Retno Marsudi (1.5%), Coordinating Minister of the Economy Airlangga Hartarto (1.2%), and Cabinet Secretary Pramono Anung (1%). (dan)