Wednesday, September 27, 2023 | 15:13 WIB

BMKG predicts peak of drought in Sep-Oct


Jakarta, IO – The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts that the peak of drought in Indonesia will occur from September to October.

BMKG acting deputy Urip Haryoko said this was related to the solar cycle and the effects of the El Nino phenomenon where temperature anomalies in the Pacific Ocean trigger a decrease in rainfall, reported CNNIndonesia, Monday (5/6).

Urip said his agency estimates that the El Nino phase will have an 80 percent chance of developing this June, even though the intensity is still weak to moderate. According to him, it is not surprising that in the period from September to November the rainfall will be reduced.

“The impact of the El Nino phenomenon will generally result in lower rainfall than the average, especially in the June-July-August period and September-October-November,” he pointed out.

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Furthermore, Urip said several regions in Java and surrounding islands would be the most affected during the peak period of the dry season as rainfall drops below the normal limits.

“Even some areas will experience very low rainfall, which is less than 20 mm/month, most notably in Sumatra, Java, Bali, NTB and NTT,” said Urip. (un)


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